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UPDATE ON THE WEEKLY STOCK RESEARCH

Stock Ratings Changes

In addition to our popular, daily research for swing traders (3-5 days), we also provide research that is more long-term in nature.  Designed for a time horizon of 3-8 weeks, our Stock Buy of the Week and Stock Sell of the Week are offered to our subscribers using the same selection process as our daily research.  This top-down/bottom-up strategy is sector driven, meaning that our focus is narrowed by the monthly outlook for each of 33 industry groups.

Each Monday our weekly stock picks are made available to our subscribers, complete with an initial price target and a corresponding stop loss.


FRIDAY, JANUARY 30, 2003

The NASDAQ has seen its weekly momentum crossover to negative, implying that this market index has a negative bias for the next few weeks. This development allows us the opportunity to lighten up on some of the longer-term buy signals that have reached their upper trading limits.  The following Long-Term Buy ratings have been removed, as of the close of business today:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss) Annualized Return
5/5/03 NE Noble Corp. $31.21 $37.10 18.8% 26.22%
6/16/03 CCE Coca Cola Ent. $19.81 $22.90 15.6% 25.9%
7/28/03 CREE Cree Inc. $15.46 $25.07 62.6% 156.91%
9/2/03 PKS Six Flags $5.35 $7.24 35.3% 107.7%
10/20/03 ARTI Artisan Components $16.93 $18.12 7.0% 27.2%
12/15/03 MENT Mentor Graphic $14.11 $15.75 10.6% 134.8%
12/22/03 THOR Thoratech $12.59 $15.40 23.1% 528.6%

On the sell side, the sharp drop in the price of Lincare Holdings allows us to remove the sell signal on that stock.  The details on that Long-Term Sell rating are as follows:

Date Sell of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss) Annualized Return
11/3/03 LNCR Lincare Holdings $38.97 $32.06 18.4% 55.0%



WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2003

Long-term technical indicators such as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) still point to a historically overbought stock market, one that is ripe for a pullback from current levels.  Consistent with that outlook, we are seizing the opportunity to take more profits among our longer term, weekly research features.  Specifically, the following Long-Term Buy ratings have been removed, as of the close of business today:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss) Annualized Return
9/29/03 KO Coca Cola $43.03 $46.98 9.2% 137.8%
9/22/03 AFL AFLAC $30.32 $35.49 17.1% 269.2%
8/11/03 FTO Frontier Oil $14.69 $16.68 13.5% 71.5%
7/14/03 CVD Covance $19.15 $25.80 34.7% 159.7%
4/28/03 ISSX Internet Security Systems $12.59 $17.40 38.2% 85.5%



WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2003

With the markets tumbling from overbought levels, it is time once again to remove selected buy signals from stocks previously featured as the Stock Buy of the Week.  Each of these buy ratings is being removed due to the stock's reaching its initial price target or to a near-term peak on its daily or weekly price chart.  The following Long-Term Buy ratings have been removed:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss) Annualized Return
8/4/03 MRCY Mercury Computer Systems $19.27 $22.37 16.1% 335.6%
7/7/03 SNE Sony Corp ADR $31.55 $36.12 14.5% 113.7%
6/23/03 BLL Ball Corp. $46.66 $51.40 10.2% 56.4%
6/2/03 AFFX Affymetrix $22.75 $24.39 7.2% 28.9%
2/24/03 RFMD RF Micro Devices $6.63 $9.42 42.1% 91.1%



TUESDAY, JULY 29, 2003

The latest beneficiaries of the market rally are a group of former Stock Buys of the Week that are at or near their target prices.  This affords us the opportunity for another round of selective profit taking.  The following Long-Term Buy ratings have been removed:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
7/21/03 YRK York Intl. $24.36 $29.00 19.0%
6/9/03 AEM Agnico-Eagle Mines $11.75 $12.16 3.5%
5/26/03 T AT&T $19.25 $21.74 12.9%
5/19/03 MDG Meridian Gold $11.31 $12.94 14.4%
5/12/03 RGLD Royal Gold $17.41 $23.27 33.7%
3/31/03 TRI Triad Hospitals $26.85 $30.46 13.4%

On the short side, the pronounced weakness in the Energy sectors may be coming to an end, and it affords us the occasion to remove one of the stocks featured as the Stock Sell of the Week.  The following Long-Term Sell rating is being removed:

Date Sell of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
6/9/03 NBR Nabors Industries $43.05 $34.20 20.6%



TUESDAY, JULY 1, 2003

The continuation of the rally that began in March has afforded the opportunity to take additional profits off the table.  A number of long-term buys ratings are being removed, even though a few of the stocks are below their recent highs.  The deterioration in several, long-term technical indicators indicates that the market is in a very vulnerable position at the present time.  In addition to the five Buys that were dropped in early May, the following Long-Term Buy ratings are now being removed:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
4/21/03 TRMS Trimeris $38.90 $46.00 18.3%
4/14/03 SKS Saks Inc. $8.57 $10.03 17.0%
4/7/03 TOO Too Inc. $17.19 $20.11 17.0%
3/17/03 MCHP Microchip Tech $21.61 $25.08 16.1%

Nearly all of the remaining Sell ratings are being maintained with the expectation that a softer market will allow sufficient opportunities to cover those positions at much lower prices within the next 3-4 weeks.  The one exception is an Energy stock that has reached its short-selling target price, so the following Long-Term Sell rating is being removed:

Date Sell of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
4/14/03 FTO Frontier Oil $17.09 $15.20 11.1%




THURSDAY, MAY 8, 2003

With our increasing concern about the vitality of the current market rally, we have decided to review our recent picks and to make appropriate changes.  These changes involve taking profits in a number of "Buys of the Week" that are seen as vulnerable to a market downturn, as well as "Sells of the Week" that are likely to begin to rise in a more difficult climate for stocks.  In general, we see a need to lighten up on recent long positions in technology-related companies, and a similar need to remove short positions in commodity-related companies such as Energy and Gold.

Buy ratings are being removed from the following stocks, which were featured on the dates listed:

Date Buy of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
2/3/03 SIE Sierra Health Srv. $14.75 $17.84 20.9%
2/17/03 IDTI Integrated Device Tech $7.42 $10.81 45.7%
3/3/03 ITRI Itron $14.99 $20.70 38.1%
3/10/03 AMLN Amylin Pharma $14.76 $18.48 25.2%
3/24/03 PHTN Photon Dynamics $18.21 $23.76 30.5%

Likewise, Sell ratings have been removed from the following short positions:

Date Sell of the Week Company Name Initial Price Latest Price % Profit/(Loss)
2/3/03 AU AngloGold Ltd. $35.32 $30.61 13.3%
2/17/03 PDG Placer Dome $10.57 $10.38 1.8%
3/17/03 APA Apache $60.34 $57.40 4.9%

Additional ratings changes will be made in the days and weeks ahead as those opportunities arise.  Until then, thanks for your continued support of our research, and...

Best of Luck in Your Active Trading!

J. Scott Rader
President & CEO
Active-Investor, Inc.
scott@active-investor.com
http://www.active-investor.com


Disclaimer: Active-Investor.com is not a broker/dealer.  No references to any investments are to be considered an offer to buy or sell any securities.  As always, investors are encouraged to weigh all research against their need to satisfy their own investment objectives.

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